The Journal. The Journal.

The World is Running Out of Fuel

Sep 21, 2026 · 19m

Summary

The Journal explores the escalating global oil crisis following Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has depleted strategic reserves and sanctioned oil buffers. With refinery capacity damaged and Venezuela’s production years away, experts warn that prices are set to rise as temporary fixes fail. The episode also examines how businesses are reacting to soaring fuel costs, with some absorbing expenses to retain customers while others begin passing higher prices to consumers amid prolonged economic uncertainty.

Topics discussed

Intro: Why oil prices haven't spiked as expected The end of workarounds and the approaching crisis Show introduction and sponsor read Strait of Hormuz closure and initial price surge Buffer 1: Tapping strategic and commercial reserves Buffer 2: Release of sanctioned oil from dark fleets Buffer 3: China's reduced oil imports and price containment Failed peace deal and the whipsaw in market sentiment Re-closure of Strait and exhaustion of buffers Refinery crisis: Damage in Middle East and Russia Why Venezuela cannot solve the immediate shortage Rising diesel costs and impact on shipping Sponsor break: Indeed sponsored jobs Businesses reaching a breaking point on fuel costs Case study: Farmer absorbing higher transport costs Retail strategy: Holding prices to maintain market share Case study: Ambix passing resin costs to customers Economic uncertainty and the inability to model forecasts Closing remarks and credits
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